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市场价格呈现如此暴跌的因素是什么?

所属分类:常见问题 发布时间:2021-02-23 11:32:08 来源:http://www.lcnmb500.com 浏览量:

耐磨钢板价的暴跌由期货端为主推手,耐磨钢板现货市场信心在本月持续震荡盘整的行情下也不断地被磨掉,也耐磨钢板市场价格呈现如此暴跌的一个因素。同期,济南耐磨钢板厂端的支撑力度缺失,需求端的启动表现也相对不给力,整体钢市的情绪相对低落,对于耐磨钢板价格的弱势已有预期,一旦期货市场连续暴跌寄出,就将现货市场的整体信心击溃,积极降价甩货的连锁效应在如此信息发达的当下就会迅速传导。因此,虽说本周的暴跌系耐磨钢板主推,但耐磨钢板市场本身信心的缺失以及心理预期的弱化则是导致耐磨钢板价格能够出现大跌的主要因素。

The sharp drop of the price of wear-resistant steel plate is mainly driven by the futures end. The confidence of the spot market of wear-resistant steel plate is constantly being worn away under the continuous shock and consolidation of the market this month, which is also a factor of the sharp drop of the market price of wear-resistant steel plate. In the same period, the supporting strength of Ji'nan wear-resistant steel plant was missing, and the demand side's start-up performance was relatively weak. The overall sentiment of steel market was relatively low. The weakness of wear-resistant steel prices had been expected. Once the futures market was sent down continuously, the overall confidence of the spot market would be suck out. The chain effect of active price cutting and cargo rejection would be transmitted rapidly at the moment of information development. . Therefore, although this week's slump is the main driver of wear-resistant steel plate, the lack of confidence in the wear-resistant steel plate market itself and the weakening of psychological expectations are the main factors leading to a sharp drop in the price of wear-resistant steel plate.

市场价格呈现如此暴跌的因素是什么?(图1)

市场价格呈现如此暴跌的因素是什么

What is the reason for such a sharp drop in market prices

目前,耐磨钢板现货钢价继续整体回落,市场“追高不追跌”,下游采购谨慎,而钢贸商却急于出货,价格不断松动,但总体成交平淡。虽说目前尚处于传统的消费旺季,但耐磨钢板市场的看涨信心与接货意愿相对不足。据分析,在板材市场上,价格总体下跌。耐磨钢板卷价格出现不同程度的下跌,其中上海市场价格的周跌幅为240元,居于首位。在一些地区,市场心态偏弱,部分商家有“抛货”的现象。一些低价资源成交尚可,但总体接货不畅,下游多按需采购。

At present, the spot steel price of wear-resistant steel plate continues to fall as a whole, and the market is "chasing high but not falling". The downstream procurement is cautious, while the steel traders are eager to ship, and the price is constantly loosening, but the overall transaction is flat. Although it is still in the traditional consumption peak season, the market of wear-resistant steel plate is relatively lack of bullish confidence and willingness to receive goods. According to analysis, in the plate market, the overall price fell. The price of wear-resistant steel coil decreased to varying degrees, and the weekly price decrease in Shanghai market was 240 yuan, ranking the first. In some areas, the market mentality is weak, and some businesses have the phenomenon of "selling". Some of the low-cost resources can be traded, but the overall receiving is not smooth, and the downstream is mostly purchased on demand.

随着HARDOX450耐磨板利润空间的不断放大,长流程钢厂减少热轧板卷产量转为生产耐磨钢板,未来的一到两个月内,耐磨钢板与悍达耐磨板的供需情况将逐渐调整,异常的价差关系也将逐步变化,因此耐磨钢板与悍达耐磨板4月份后期的行情走势或将出现分歧。

With the increasing profit margin of hardox450 wear-resistant plate, long process steel plants reduce the output of hot rolled coil and turn to produce wear-resistant steel plate. In the next one to two months, the supply and demand situation of wear-resistant steel plate and Handa wear-resistant steel plate will be gradually adjusted, and the abnormal price difference relationship will also be gradually changed. Therefore, the market trend of wear-resistant steel plate and Handa wear-resistant steel plate in late April may be different.

而反观进入本周以来,从短期来看,目前银行间资金较为紧张,受可转债以及史上严的“MPA”季考影响,资金的紧张局面仍在继续,同业拆借利率、跨季质押品种的表现以及交易所的资金面表现来看,对于耐磨钢板市现货、期货甚至股市或都相对不利。

On the other hand, since the beginning of this week, in the short term, the current inter-bank funds are relatively tight. Affected by the convertible bonds and the strict "MPa" quarterly test in history, the fund tension situation continues. The interbank offered rate, the performance of cross quarter pledge varieties and the capital surface of the exchange may be relatively unfavorable to the spot, futures and even the stock market.

短期内耐磨钢板市场或仍旧受制于外部资金面趋紧所压制的资本市场操作情绪以及耐磨钢板现货市场情绪而保持低位运行。

In the short term, the market of wear-resistant steel plate may still be constrained by the capital market operation sentiment and spot market sentiment of wear-resistant steel plate, which are suppressed by the tightening of external funds.